China’s video game market reached a new milestone in 2025, generating $51.8 billion in revenue, up 5.4% year-over-year and surpassing the $50 billion mark for the first time. Niko Partners forecasts the market will grow another 4.0% in 2026 to $53.9 billion, before reaching $59.8 billion by 2030, representing a five-year CAGR of 2.9%. Player spending continues to strengthen, with annual ARPU exceeding $70 for the first time in 2025 and projected to reach $77.68 by 2030. This solidifies China’s position as the world’s largest video games market by players, with the total player base forecasted to reach 769 million players by 2030.
Niko Partners holds a more positive outlook for China’s gaming market than in our November 2025 forecast, driven primarily by stronger-than-expected performance from both newly launched titles and legacy evergreen games. Looking ahead, here are five key trends are expected to shape the market over the next five years:
- Integration of Generative AI into game development and player-facing experiences,
- Continued growth in niche and boutique genres that cater to underserved audiences,
- Increased out-of-app monetization that improves publisher margins, alongside direct to fan monetization of game IP,
- Rising consumer spending on both domestic and international premium PC and console titles,
- A more favorable regulatory environment for domestic game companies and continued access to the China market for international game companies via platforms like Steam.
A Supportive Environment for Innovation and Growth
China’s 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030) provides a supportive framework for the country’s gaming industry as part of broader efforts to strengthen digital innovation and cultural industries. This policy environment is creating new opportunities for both domestic and international companies while reinforcing the strategic role of gaming within China’s digital economy. Domestic game approvals are running ahead of 2025 levels, providing developers with greater visibility and supporting a larger pipeline of commercially launched titles.
At the same time, Chinese game companies are rapidly embracing Generative AI across development pipelines and player-facing features. AI tools are being used to enhance content creation, improve operational efficiency, and deliver more dynamic player experiences. This trend is converging with a broader boom in user-generated content (UGC), as many of China’s most successful live-service games increasingly evolve into creation platforms that allow players to build, share, and participate in content ecosystems.
However, the market is not without challenges. The rapid expansion of AI infrastructure has increased demand for memory and semiconductor components, constraining supply for consumer hardware and contributing to higher device prices. Despite these pressures, ongoing innovation, regulatory clarity, and robust player engagement continue to support long-term market growth.
Some of the key takeaways from China Player Behavior & Market Insights Report:
- Short video is the leading discovery channel. 41% of players use short video apps to discover new games and game information, making it the #1 discovery method across PC, mobile, and console.
- Esports engagement continues to grow. 51.3% of players have engaged with esports, up from 46.5% in 2025. Niko Partners defines esports engagement as having played an esports game, watched an esports event, or competed in a tournament.
- Mini games are becoming a major growth segment. 80% of Chinese players have engaged with mini games, which now account for nearly 20% of mobile game spending. Their growing reach and monetization potential make mini games an increasingly important part of China’s mobile gaming ecosystem.
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These findings highlight a market that continues to evolve beyond traditional gaming experiences. Chinese players are embracing new content formats, engaging more deeply with esports ecosystems, and increasingly discovering games through short-form video platforms. At the same time, publishers are finding new opportunities through AI-driven development, alternative monetization strategies, and direct relationships with players. Success will increasingly depend on a company’s ability to adapt to changing player behaviors and capitalize on an innovative ecosystem and supportive regulation.
At Niko Partners, we help businesses turn market intelligence into action. Through our syndicated research, subscription-based insights, and custom consulting services, we provide the data, analysis, and strategic guidance needed to navigate the rapidly evolving gaming markets across Asia and MENA. Whether you are evaluating market expansion opportunities, analyzing player behavior, assessing monetization strategies, or tracking regulatory developments, our research helps organizations make informed business decisions with confidence. Contact us to learn how Niko Partners can help your organization identify growth opportunities and build successful strategies in one of the world’s largest and most dynamic gaming markets.
